Friday, May 16, 2008

I've Moved

And not only have I moved, but I've moved to two places.

All the baseball stuff can now be found at http://boston9.wordpress.com/

Everything else will be located at http://primarilycrap.wordpress.com/

Thursday, May 15, 2008

Playing To Win

I’m not sure that I get this political stuff. After spending over a year campaigning for the 2008 Democratic Presidential nomination, John Edwards gets his ass kicked in the first month of primary voting, including his own home state of North Carolina, and drops out of the race before January is even over. Yesterday, after waiting until it was a sure bet and safe to do so, he throws his support behind Barak Obama. I’m not questioning his decision to play it safe, hey why not, in 2004, however close it may have been, he lost his bid for the office of vice president, and this year he got stomped in his attempt to become the Democratic Presidential nominee. He might as well wait until it’s a sure bet so he can guarantee himself that he’ll come out on the winning side for once.

What I don’t understand is, why would a guy who has practically wrapped up the Democratic Presidential nomination want to have the support of a two-time loser?

Monday, May 12, 2008

End Of The Line For Abe

Pawtucket pitcher Abe Alvarez was released by the Red Sox yesterday. Although this is just a mere footnote in the history of this storied franchise, it means a little more than that to me.

In 2003 he was drafted as a top pitching prospect and I was there for his Major League debut on July 22nd during the magical 2004 season. It was the first game of a day/night double-header against the Orioles, so the Sox needed to bring up a starter and Abe got the call from double A. It was a hot, sticky Thursday afternoon. The game had been on the schedule for a while as it was a makeup from a rainout in April, so I had decided to make it the game for my annual trek to Fenway with Kyla and had secured tickets a month or so earlier.

It sticks out in my mind so much because when I found out that he was going to make the start, I knew that it was going to be the Major League debut of a highly touted prospect and I (and even more importantly Kyla, even if she wouldn’t remember it) might be present while history was being made. The first thing I noticed about the guy was that he was wearing his hat so that the brim was tilted to one side, something that drives me crazy. I forgave him when I found out later that he was legally blind in his left eye, it was sensitive to light, and he wore his hat this way to help keep the light out of the eye.

Unfortunately the debut did not work out as he, or the rest of Red Sox Nation had hoped. Although we got 5 innings out of him, which was all management was looking for; he gave up 8 hits, 5 walks and 5 runs in an 8-3 loss. It was not a very memorable performance, and of course, having only been up to make the start, he was sent down right after the game so the Sox could add another reliever to the pen.

But still, it wasn’t like he was the first big time pitching prospect to have a rough Major League debut, he was only 21 and there was still a bright future ahead of him, right? He went back to Portland where he made the Eastern League All-Star team and was named the Sea Dogs “Pitcher of the Year” and things were looking good.

Having seen his Major League debut I took a particular interest in his career. Unfortunately he had already reached the high point in ’04. He was promoted to Pawtucket for the ’05 season where he made a couple of appearances with the big club and another one in ’06. But he was not progressing as quickly as it was hoped he would and by 2007 it was beginning to look like his days as an elite prospect were over and his career as a Major League pitcher was even in jeopardy. He never really managed to put it all together. At the start of this year he was moved to the bullpen, and yesterday he was finally released after posting a 6.46 ERA in 13 games.

So it looks like the days of me telling Kyla that we were there for his debut as we watch him leading the Sox to World Series titles while competing for Cy Young Awards will never come.

Tuesday, May 06, 2008

Slump Over

David Ortiz is slowly coming out of his slump. Going into tonight's game he was 8 for 20 with 2 walks, 2 doubles and a home run over the last 7 games, good for a 1.105 OPS. That right there should be enough to convince us that the old Big Papi is back, but if anyone needs anymore proof it came tonight when he blasted a ball into the right field grandstands off of Nate Robertson, a left-handed pitcher who absolutely owned Ortiz. In 24 plate appearances, Ortiz had 3 hits, 1 walk and 1 hbp, to go along with 7 K's for a .136 BA. Welcome back Big Papi.

On a night when Papelbon and Okajima were probably not available, Tim Wakefield provided just what we needed in throwing 8 innings of 2-hit shutout ball and receiving 5 runs of support from the offense for the win. I don't know why he wasn't allowed to finish it, as he was dominating having thrown only 98 pitches.

The Detroit Tigers are lucky right now. With tonight's loss they are now 14-20 on the season. Fortunately for them their biggest competition in the AL Central, the Cleveland Indians, are not doing much better at 14-17 and trailing the Yankees tonight as I wrap up this entry. Both of these teams are going to play better baseball but I still believe the Tigers are going to have a tough time trying to win that division with the pitching staff they have.

On the other side, after hitting a bit of a wall last week, we are now on a roll, winning 7 of our last 8 games and becoming the first team to reach 22 wins on the season. The starting pitching is putting it together and the offense is starting to click. Now all we need to do is figure out a way to get to Okajima and Papelbon on the days when our starters can't get to them.

Thursday, May 01, 2008

Colon To Pen?

Today was supposed to be the day that Bartolo Colon was to be promoted to the Big Leagues or have the opportunity to opt out of his contract. Because of his oblique injury he has agreed to push back the opt-out clause to June 1. There is still a good chance that he can help this team, but I wonder what would have happened if he did not agree to move back the clause and chose to opt out if he was not promoted.

This day comes a couple of days after Jon Lester’s best start in a Red Sox uniform and possibly Clay Buchholz best start as well. You might argue that his no-hitter was his best start, but some people who know about these things and watched both games, John Farrell, for one, have said that the stuff he had in his last start was even better than the stuff he had during the no-hitter. There is also the fact that he had the advantage of never having faced the Orioles before the no-hitter, whereas most of the Blue Jays hitters who faced him the other night had already faced him once before, last September. Which one of these two games was his best is debatable, but my main point here is that both of these young pitchers threw very good games in their last outings, both are showing signs of improvement and both have the potential, while still developing in the Major Leagues, to give us at least as much as Colon might give us with a much higher upside.

As it stands right now, it wouldn’t make sense to me to send one of them down, most likely Buchholz, just so we could add Colon to the Big League team instead of losing him.

Fortunately, we don’t have to worry about that right now and we have another month to make that decision. A lot can happen in a month. One or more pitchers could get injured or one or both of our young pitchers could struggle and make the decision on June 1st an easy one. But it’s also possible that all 5 of our starters will stay healthy, Lester and Buchholz will continue to develop and pitch well and we will find ourselves right back in the same situation of trying to decide what to do with Colon a month from now.

What would we do then? To me it would still not make sense to send one of them down and plug Colon into the starting rotation, but what about bringing him up to plug a hole in the set up role where we clearly could use some help?

Manny Delcarmen is struggling right now. Sure it could still be the effects of the flu bug he had, but he’s not the only one that had it and everyone else seems to be over it. Maybe he just hasn’t turned the corner yet, like we thought he had. Mike Timlin is also struggling big time and as much as I love the guy, I have to admit to thinking that at 42 years old he just might be done being an effective Major League pitcher. Of course I thought that last year as well and he ended up proving me wrong. David Aardsma is doing an okay job right now, but he’s struggling with control, having already walked 11 in 13.2 innings, and he has a history of this always catching up with him.

Bartolo Colon is 34 years old, normally still young enough to succeed as a starter in the Major Leagues, but shoulder problems have limited him to a total of 29 games over the last two seasons. What’s more, those shoulder problems have caused the velocity in his 4-seamer to drop from the mid-90’s to the high 80’s-low 90’s. Colon has always had a weight problem and even when healthy over the last few seasons he has struggled with endurance. It’s possible that his arm might not be adaptable to bullpen duty, especially with the shoulder problems. But if it is, wouldn’t it make sense to give it a try?

Tuesday, April 29, 2008

Strange Day

What a strange day in Red Sox Nation. It started with Mike Lowell coming off the DL. It was assumed that Brandon Moss would be sent back down to make room for him, but Jacoby Ellsbury comes up with a sore groin so we need Moss to stick around. Instead, Bryan Corey gets designated for assignment for the second time in less than three weeks, after clearing waivers the first time and accepting the assignment to Pawtucket, when he could have chosen to become a free agent. Tough break for Corey. There is no way he could have taken that well, and I'll be surprised if he accepts his assignment this time.

The game started 16 minutes late because of rain, but when we finally got on with it, both Roy Halladay and Jon Lester are throwing strikes and mowing them down. I expected it from Halladay but not Lester.

With no score after eight innings, Jonathan Papelbon, who has not worked in six days, came into the game. He proceeded to strike out the first two batters and then gave up a double to Scott Rolen. Vernon Wells comes up and rips a pitch back up the middle that nearly took off Papelbon's head and was headed to center field where it was surely going to drive in Rolen from second and give the Jays a 1-0 lead. Instead, in a play reminiscent of the one he made to save Clay Buchholz' no-hitter, Dustin Pedroia dives to his right, snags the ball as it's practically by him, gets up, spins and fires it to first to nail Wells.

With two out in the ninth, David Ortiz walks. Manny Ramirez singles him to second. It would make sense to run for Big Papi, but we already know that Ellsbury is out with a sore groin. It's possible that Jed Lowrie could do it, but with Ellsbury hurting, J.D. Drew leaving the game in the third inning with a strained quad and Lowell freshly off the D.L., Terry Francona opts to keep Lowrie on the bench in case he's needed to play a position.

Youk comes to the plate and slaps one into center field that falls for a hit. There is no question that Big Papi is going to be waived home, the only question is whether he will make it in time. It's probably going to be close, but Wells bobbles it, there is no throw, Ortiz scores and the Red Sox win.

The game is played in 2 hours and 18 minutes and I'm done writing this by 10:10pm.

On a night when one of our young guys throws 8 innings of shutout ball, the Yankees only get 3.2 from Phil Hughes. He gives up 8 hits and 6 runs to raise his season ERA to 9.00. He is clearly not ready to pitch in the Major Leagues, but they really don't have anyone else to turn to.

I feel a little bad for Halladay. At least as bad as I can for a Major League Baseball player making millions of dollars a year; which is to say, not that bad at all.

This guy is a gamer, a throwback to another time. He works quick, he throws strikes and he doesn't come out of the game unless it's kicking and screaming. I would love to have him here, not just because he's a great pitcher, but because I know I would get to bed early at least every fifth day.

Anyway, the reason I almost feel bad for him, he has now thrown 4 complete games in a row and has lost the last three. Tough break.

Sunday, April 27, 2008

Ray of Light

There's a reason we just got swept by the Tampa Bay Rays. Sure a big part of it is that we didn't hit, but that's not the only reason. The other part is that the Rays are good. Okay, they're not that good, but these are not your big brothers Devil Rays, the Devil Rays not having been around long enough to have been your fathers Devil Rays. In fact, they're not even the Devil Rays anymore, they're just the Rays now, and from the new insignia on their uniforms it would seem that the word "Rays" has a new meaning as well, no longer referring to the fish, but now seeming to refer to a ray of light from the sun.

The Rays have been slowly moving in the right direction over the last few years while stocking the team and farm system with good young talent from the draft, from a few key signings (Carlos Pena comes to mind immediately) and from a couple of trades, including the swindling of the Mets for Scott Kazmir.

Carl Crawford, Carlos Pena and Akinori Iwamura are signed until 2010, including club options, B.J. Upton is under their control until 2012, and up and coming rookie phenom Evan Longoria just signed a 6-year contract that agents are estimating will save the Rays at least 40 million dollars over the life of the contract.

On the pitching side, they still have Kazmir under control until 2010, James Shields, one of baseballs best kept secrets is under control until 2012, and Matt Garza, the key piece in the Delmon Young deal, until 2013. There are some good arms such as Edwin Jackson, if he can ever put it all together, Andy Sonnanstine, and Jason Hammel to help out for now, and down in the minors they have some of the most highly touted pitching prospects such as David Price, Wade Davis and Jacob McGee.

Don't look now but this team is on the rise. They are no longer the whipping boys of the AL East. I'm not saying that they are going to win a World Series any time soon, but they are taking steps in the right direction. They should definitely be better than the Orioles this year and when it's all said and done, they should have a better record than a few other teams as well, at least the Royals and maybe the Rangers. It's even possible that they just might have their first winning season in team history, although it's more likely that they'll get close to .500 and have the best record in their team history.

Of course, they're still second to last in team payroll at under 44 million, and they're still struggling to find a fan base; which is understandable when you consider how many people down there are transplants from other parts of the country, most notably the northeast, where baseball is practically a religion and many of the fans are zealots, but the natives should begin to see their team gain respectability in the near future.

We should still be able to beat this team, but I think the days of assuming the win are over and the Rays are now a team to be reckoned with.

Having said all of that, it was a tough week in Red Sox Nation and hopefully the day off to get everyone healthy and get the bats and bullpen going will be just what we need.

Monday, April 21, 2008

Hapless Rangers

After watching this 4 game sweep of Texas I can only think of one word to describe the Rangers- hapless. Not to take anything away from what we did over these last 4 days, but the results are just as much a product of what we put on the field, as they are what the Texas Rangers put on the field. And it’s been the same thing year after year.

The Rangers always manage to put together an impressive collection of bats, but never have any pitching. You would think that sooner or later someone over there would figure out that it’s all about pitching and start trying to acquire some, but it just never seems to happen. Every year it’s the same thing, they batter their way through the schedule, and try to outslug their opponent, and more times then not they find themselves on the losing end, whether it be because the starter was terrible, the bullpen was terrible, or they were all terrible.

Nice to see Buchholz go 6 today, after only making it through 3.2 in his last outing. Even though Wakefield gave up 5 runs on Sunday, he was throwing strikes and he gave the pen a much-needed break by making it through eight. In the first 21 games of the season we’ve only had two starts that have made it into the eighth inning, Wakefield’s start on Sunday and Beckett’s start on Thursday, in which he also completed eight.

We need more outings like that from all of our pitchers. Buchholz has yet to get into the seventh inning and both Dice-K and Lester have yet to get out of the seventh inning, with too many of those outings not making it out of the fifth or sixth inning. If we keep going like that, we’re not going to have any bullpen left in July, never mind September/October.

I know it’s still early and these guys are still building up stamina, but most of the problems are stemming from the fact that they're throwing too many pitches and not that they're getting gassed too early. And this has been a problem for both Dice-K and Lester all along. These guys need to start throwing more strikes and they need to start doing it soon.

But hey, despite all of that, we’re in first place in the AL East and we’re the first team to 14 wins in the Major Leagues. Big Papi is coming around, Beckett is shaping up, the bullpen is rounding out and the offense is clicking on all cylinders. It’s all good in Red Sox Nation in April.

Saturday, April 19, 2008

Double A and The Mayor

A lot of the talk today will be about Big Papi’s grand slam, Jed Lowrie’s first start at Fenway, or the fact that Dice-K got his AL leading fourth win of the season, despite the fact that he has been unable to get out of the sixth inning in any of his five starts.

So I’m going to talk about something else, in particular, two Red Sox players whose signings were not that big of a deal at the time, but they have both managed to make an impact on this team in the early going.

I’ll start with Sean Casey. On my old BostonNOW blog, which seems to be gone now, I noted at the time we signed him that it was a good move. I noted that, not only was Casey a good guy, which was already well known, but he was also a pretty good hitter (he’s currently sporting a .302 lifetime batting average) and that not only was he a good backup for both Kevin Youkilis and Mike Lowell, but he would also be nice insurance in case we lost one of them for any extended period of time.

Well, it didn’t take long for that to happen, as Lowell went down with the sprained thumb on April 9th, and is probably going to miss at least a couple of more weeks. No problem, Youk moved across the diamond to third and The Mayor stepped into the game at first and went 2-4 with a run scored. In 9 games since Lowell’s injury, Casey is batting .354 with an OBP of .444. He’s been on base 16 times, has scored 5 runs and driven in 6. Not only that, but he’s fun to watch. Every time they show this guy he’s got a smile on his face and his mouth is moving. He’s always talking to someone, whether it’s an umpire, an opposing player, or a teammate, and I don’t think I’ve ever seen anyone else having as much fun playing Major League baseball as Sean Casey seems to be having. We want, and need Mike Lowell back, but having The Mayor around until that happens is making it a lot easier.

For a guy who’s only 26, David Aardsma has been around. He’s already been traded 3 times, starting in San Francisco and playing for both Chicago teams. The good news is he’s got two good pitches, a mid 90’s fastball and an above average slider. The bad news is that he struggles with his control and, although he projects as a good set up man, he’s never been able to put it together, resulting in 3 teams giving up on him.

He’s still having some control problems, walking 8 and hitting a batter in 11 innings so far this year, but he’s also struck out 9 (a regular Nuke Laloosh), and although he’s gotten himself into some trouble, like last night, he’s also gotten himself out of it most of the time. Terry Francona has trusted him in a couple of key situations so far this year, and he’s responded well. It’s still early, and Aardsma started off well with the White Sox last season before completely losing it, but maybe he’s finally going to put it together and become the reliever that many scouts thought he was capable of becoming. He’ll definitely have to cut down the walks though. It would certainly be nice to have another weapon in the bullpen for this year and for the long-term, and David Aardsma could just be that guy.